The New Economics of Advertising

September 11, 2008

AOL: Now Our Ad Network Business Is Seizing Up, Too (TWX)

Filed under: AOL,iphone — Dash @ 3:46 pm

AOL: Now Our Ad Network Business Is Seizing Up, Too (TWX)

This is going to make it harder for Jeff Bewkes to get the price he wants for his wobbling AOL unit: An admission by CFO John Martin that the Web company’s ad revenue is sputtering. Bloomberg:

“It had been growing like a weed,” Chief Financial Officer John Martin said today at a Merrill Lynch & Co. investor conference in Marina del Rey, California. “We have seen some cancellations. It gives us pause in terms of our confidence to ramp advertising in the back half of the year.”

Martin’s spin, spelled out in the WSJ’s coverage of the talk (which non-subscribers can get free on their BlackBerrys), is that the slowdown is worst at AOL’s third-party ad network business (Platform A), so the effect on margins won’t be as bad as it could be. What he apparently didn’t spell out is that the ad network has been the one growth engine AOL has been able to count on in recent quarters – its owned and operated ad business, which is indeed much more profitable, has been in free-fall. So the next quarter could indeed be grim.

Of course, this is also bad news for the rest of the Web business, especially the one-million-and-counting ad networks that have sprung up in the last year. Ad networks were supposed to be particularly resilient to an overall ad slowdown. In theory, advertisers looking for bargain space were supposed to come flooding to the networks, which link them up with publishers’ less desirable inventory. And if a top-tier player like AOL can’t make it work, look out below.

AdMob: iPhone Internet Use Sees Major Growth Spurt in August

iphone_logo_sep08.jpgAccording to the latest data from mobile advertising company AdMob, traffic from Apple’s iPhone on AdMob’s advertising network almost doubled in August. Apple’s iPhone saw the fastest growth of all smartphones worldwide, closely followed by the Samsung Instinct. It is also noteworthy that the top 5 smartphones in the U.S. generated 54% of all smartphone traffic.

The iPhone is now responsible for 7.8% of all smart phone traffic in the U.S., up from 5.2% last month. It’s important to note that this does not necessarily reflect the actual market share of the iPhone, as iPhone users, thanks to the ease of use of the iPhone user interface, are probably spending more time online on their devices than most other smartphone users.

admob_august_data.png

What About Nokia, Palm, Motorola, and Rim?

While Nokia devices were responsible for just over 62% of all smartphone traffic worldwide, none of Nokia’s smartphones ranked in the top 20 in the U.S. Palm’s Centro, on the other hand, looks like a major boon for the company, as it is only trumped by the Blackberry Pearl when it comes to traffic volume.

motorola_razr.pngMotorola, which does not have a single smartphone ranked in the top 20, still dominates the mobile traffic rankings with its RAZR V3. which was responsible for 3.7% of all mobile Internet use worldwide in August. The iPhone was the 17th most used phone on the mobile web and generated 1% of all worldwide traffic, up from 0.6% in July.

The iPhone is clearly growing quickly in the U.S. and now that Apple seems to have gotten its supply chain under control, chances are that it will continue on this track. However, it is also important to point out that, in the overall market, Apple is still only a small player. Most users, according to AdMob, are still accessing the mobile web on a RAZR.

September 1, 2008

Is The Apple iPhone Coming To China? China Mobile.

Filed under: iphone — Dash @ 4:47 pm
Ed: China is the largest mobile market in the world. Mobile phones often displace traditional phones, as well as computers.

Is The iPhone Coming To China?

A rumor is circulating that the iPhone may be finally making its way to China. The original source of the rumor is China Communications, which has cited a China Mobile insider as its source. According to the source, China Mobile will be offering the iPhone at a heavily subsidized discount in order to court the massive Chinese population, many of whom would have trouble affording an unsubsidized phone.

An article from It.hexun.com (translated here), says that the source is a member of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT), and offers further details:

China Mobile will procure the handsets for their full price, and then on-sell subsidized handsets to consumers. The source explained that China Mobile could buy a 3G iPhone from Apple for USD 299 – an example price – and then sell the handset to users for USD 199, treating the additional USD 100 as compensation to Apple.

Past talks between China Mobile and Apple have failed, largely because of Apple’s past insistence on taking a portion (believed to be between 20-30 percent) of the carrier’s monthly fees from iPhone customers.

With the release of the iPhone 3G, Apple stopped insisting on a rev-share agreement with carriers. An earlier report on a possible deal explained that the largest hurdle had been removed, but there were still “practical issues” that had to be taken care of.

Thanks to The China Perspective for the tip.

Report: China Mobile to Sell Subsidized iPhones

Apple rumor du jour: Research firm JLM Pacific Epoch is reporting that a publication called China Communications quotes “an insider close to China Mobile” as saying the carrier has decided to sell subsidized Apple iPhones in China. Not the firm sourcing you might prefer, but interesting nonetheless.

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